دراسة تحليلية و قياسية لمعدلات البطالة في دول المغرب العربي في الفترة 2000-2016

الموضوعات

اقتصاد

روابط وملفات

التعريف والنوع

رقم الوثيقة

f46715b2-7130-4ba2-a1cd-569e3d7eb399

رقم العقد

0

نوع الوسائط

Crawler

نوع المحتوى

الرسائل العلمية

صيغة المصدر

رسائل دكتوراة

نوع الملف

pdf text

أسماء الملفات

2055304_1.pdf

بيانات النشر

ألقاب المؤلفين

[{"name_ar":"محمد عيسى محمد محمود","title_ar":"اشراف","title_en":"Supervision"},{"name_ar":"مصطفى حيمور","title_ar":"اعداد","title_en":"Preparation"}]

اللغة

Arabic

المصدر والدورية

اسم المصدر

دراسة تحليلية و قياسية لمعدلات البطالة في دول المغرب العربي في الفترة 2000-2016

المحتوى والصفحات

عدد الصفحات

0

ترجمة الملخص

Unemployment is currently one of the biggest problems of a contemporary era and ismanifested by a considerable number of countries worldwide, which vary according to levelsof progress and the socio-economic and political systems that have imbalances in the jobmarker. This was the prime motivation to undertake the present research.The analysis of the existing theories on unemployment revealed a difference betweeneconomists when interpreting unemployment. Thismay be due to the rapid dynamics andrandom changes that occur in the labor market.Further, when analyzing the unemployment inthe Arab Maghreb countries, the study found that the unemployment rates are very highamong young people under the age of 30 years, and that the most important reasons for theaggravation of this problem is due to intervention in the normal functioning of the market,especially with regard to the government intercession to ensure a minimum wage; in addition,educational and training qualities do not correspond to labor marketrequirements, whiletechnological progress has a further negative impact on the increase of unemploymentThe study, by examining the unemployment rate in the Arab Maghreb countries during thestudy period 2000_2016 through quantitative,infernal, and econometric approaches, foundthat the unemployment rates are very affected by the GDP, because it explains the dynamicsof the temporal evolution of unemployment rates in these countries. The results showed thatthe time series is stable with the first differences using a ljing box test that depends on theself-partial and partial correlation coefficients and the AugmentedDicky Fuller test, and thatthe unemployment rates are directly linked to the earlier values which are economicallyacceptable, since the number of unemployees is currently calculated as the sum of previousyears' stock of unemployed persons, as well as the number of job seekers who are notemployed in the current year, according to VAR models. Furthermore, when using the paneldata, it was found that the appropriate model for this study is the FEM model for theindividual specificity of each Maghreb country. The study concluded that there is norelationship between the integration of the variables through the integration tests301Asynchronous pedroni , when unemployment rates are predicted in 2025, unemploymentrates will rise in Algeria, Morocco and Mauritania, and will decrease in all Libya and Tunisiacompared to current unemployment rates .

إشراف وإعداد

الإشراف

محمد عيسى محمد محمود

الإعداد

مصطفى حيمور

الاقتباسات الببليوغرافية