تحليل وقياس اثر بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية في الناتج المحلي الزراعي في العراق للمدة (2004-2020)

الموضوعات

اقتصاد

روابط وملفات

التعريف والنوع

رقم الوثيقة

0f0dc204-a155-4f4f-a8a5-208dd620fd68

رقم العقد

0

نوع الوسائط

Crawler

نوع المحتوى

الرسائل العلمية

صيغة المصدر

رسائل ماجيستير

نوع الملف

pdf image

أسماء الملفات

0f0dc204-a155-4f4f-a8a5-208dd620fd68_1.pdf

بيانات النشر

ترجمة العنوان

Analysis and measurement the Impact of Some Economic Variables on the Agricultural Domestic Product in Iraq for the period 2004-2020

ألقاب المؤلفين

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اللغة

Arabic

المصدر والدورية

اسم المصدر

تحليل وقياس اثر بعض المتغيرات الاقتصادية في الناتج المحلي الزراعي في العراق للمدة (2004-2020)

المحتوى والصفحات

عدد الصفحات

163

ترجمة الملخص

The agricultural sector in Iraq is one of the important sectors in the Iraqi economy, due to the great role it plays in the provision of agricultural products, especially food ones. Because of the conditions that Iraq has experienced, this sector has been neglected for decades, which led to a low level of production, a decrease in the value of agricultural output, and a weak contribution tothe formation of the gross domestic product. Therefore, it has become necessary to search for solutions that contribute to limiting the deterioration of the agricultural sector through developing appropriate policies to raise its efficiency. Accordingly, this study aims to know the impact of some economic variables onthe agricultural sector represented by the agricultural domestic product. The explanatory variables of the study are : Inflation rate, government investment spending and agricultural imports) based on the time series data issued by the official authorities for the period (2004-2020), which is an exceptional period in view of the massive events that Iraq has experienced, starting with changing the regime, security and social instability and the transition towards a market mechanism and the independence of the Central Bank, as well as the control of armed groups (ISIS) over large areas of Iraq, in addition tothe financial and administrative corruption that has affected all aspects of the state. The regression equation for the economic variables was estimated separately using simple linear regression of the inflation rate, investment spending and agricultural imports in terms of agricultural GDP. The results showed the existence of a significant and inverse relationship between inflation and agricultural domestic product, which is consistent with the economic logic, as the increase in agricultural imports, and the dumping of local markets with these products led to a decrease in agricultural domestic product. Through the results, the value of the error correction coefficient is significant and takes the negative value for both inflation and agricultural domestic product, which means that high inflation rates lead to a decrease in agricultural domestic product due to the high costs of production factors. As a result of its high prices and low support for it. There is also a direct, statistically significant relationship between investment spending and agricultural domestic product, and it agrees with the economic theory. The study reached some recommendations: The government should adopt a financial policy aimed at developing the agricultural sector, providing soft loans without interest to encourage investors in the agricultural sector, activating laws and regulations, controlling and controlling border crossings to reduce the dumping of goods, identifying imported goods and their conformity to specifications, in addition to controlling Inflation rates, which is one of the monetary policy tools, as well as the use of modern techniques in irrigation to reduce waste to reach optimal use of water.

إشراف وإعداد

الإشراف

رجاء عبدالله عيسى السالم

الإعداد

رائد عبد فهد السعدون

الاقتباسات الببليوغرافية